Updating the Climate Science
What Path is the Real World Following?
Our aim is to help people understand global climate change — and how the factors that drive climate are changing. We start with climate diagnostics — people are usually most interested in climate change itself. But cause-and-effect analysis requires also data on climate forcings (which drive climate change) and feedbacks (which amplify or diminish climate change). Future climate depends on how climate forcings change — human-made greenhouse gases, especially carbon dioxide, and forcings that are not yet well measured, especially aerosols. The speed and degree of climate change also will depend upon how fast amplifying feedbacks such as cloud and sea ice changes, meltwater from Greenland and Antarctica, and permafrost melt come into play.
Climate Diagnostics and Feedbacks
- Global Temperature (2024/07/10)
- El Nino & La Nina (last modified 2024/07/03)
- Sea Surface and Ice
- Sea Level (last modified 2024/04/02)
- Sea Ice (last modified 2025/04/02)
- Ice Sheet Disintegration (last modified 2024/07/02)
- Species Loss (last modified 2024/02/08)
Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions and Energy Use
- Carbon Dioxide Emissions (last modified 2023/12/25)
- Energy Consumption (last modified 2024/07/03)
- Carbon Intensity (last modified 2023/08/20)
Climate Forcings
- Well-Mixed Greenhouse Gases (last modified 2024/06/07)
- Solar Irradiance (last modified 2024/07/01)
- Tropospheric Aerosols (2023/11/03)
- Summary (last modified 2024/02/02)
Paleoclimate
- Orbital Parameters (last modified 2024/05/11)
- Updated Figures (last modified 2024/05/07)
Response Functions
Some Publications
Global Warming in the Pipeline
- Global warming in the pipeline Oxford Open Climate Change, Volume 3, Issue 1, 2023, kgad008, published 2023/11/02.
- Figures Published
- webinar
Perceptions and Dice (2012 and 2013)
- "Perceptions of climate change" PNAS 2012 109 (37) E2415-E2423. Author Summary and Full Text published ahead of print August 6, 2012.
- Some updated figures (last modified 2023/09/20)
- Press Release (2012/08/06), Science Briefs" (2012/08) and Discussions (2012/08/11)
- Animation in Press Release
- "It's Not Your Imagination. Summers Are Getting Hotter." by Nadja Popovich and Adam Pearce published in New York Times on 2017/07/28.
- "It's Not Your Imagination. Summers Are Getting Hotter." by Nadja Popovich and Adam Pearce published in New York Times on 2023/10/07.
